Key Takeaways
- Although China’s engagement with Africa is
predominantly based on its self-interest to counter the West, the strengthened
cooperation between China and Africa suggests that self-interest is not the
only determinant of China’s African policy. Moreover, China is making tangible
contributions to African modernization.
- While China has achieved significant and
commendable results in its cooperation with Africa, challenges and shortcomings
remain. Importantly, China has recognized these issues and responded
accordingly, demonstrating its willingness and ability to learn and adapt
through ongoing engagement.
- The EU should abandon its paternalistic
stance and focus on genuinely understanding Africa’s needs. It has to adopt a
responsive approach, learning and adapting to foster more effective
cooperation.
Introduction
The economic and trade relations between China and Africa
have a long-standing history that can be traced back to the Han Dynasty
at the earliest. These relations reached their peak during the Ming Dynasty,
particularly during Zheng He’s maritime expeditions, a period relatively well-documented
in historical records.
However, the Qing Dynasty’s isolationist policies and internal turmoil
precipitated a near cessation of China-African economic exchanges.
Following the establishment of the People’s Republic of
China (PRC) in 1949, China’s Africa policy gradually developed a coherent
strategic objective. At its core – albeit with the risk of oversimplification –
it aimed to counter
the West. In this context, “the West” is a dynamic term, primarily
referring to Western hegemonism and imperialism. Prior to the Sino-Soviet
split, this counterbalance was chiefly directed at the United States;
however, following the complete rupture of Sino–Soviet relations in 1969, the
focus shifted towards countering Soviet social-imperialism. As Sino-Soviet
relations began to thaw in the 1980s, “the West” returned to predominantly
signify American hegemony, an interpretation that endures today. Hence, China’s
policy towards Africa is by and large premised on self-interest, aiming to
unite African nations in a collective resistance to Western hegemonic
practices.
Nonetheless, the depth and intimacy of contemporary China-Africa
relations cannot be adequately explained if China had unreservedly exploited
Africa solely for its self-interest. At the opening ceremony of the Beijing
Summit of the Forum on China-Africa Cooperation (FOCAC) in 2024, China
announced that it elevated
its bilateral relations with all African countries maintaining diplomatic ties
to strategic relations, redefining China-Africa relations as an all-weather
community with a shared future for the new era. It is anticipated that cooperation
between China and Africa will continue to deepen and strengthen, demonstrating
increasing strategic alignment and mutual development so as to “safeguard
common interests and international fairness and justice.”
Hence, it can be argued that a large proportion of African
nations are, to a certain extent, satisfied
with the current state of China-Africa cooperation. The pertinent question,
then, is how China manages to balance its own interests with the needs and
concerns of Africa. This paper commences with a brief historical illustration
of China’s overall strategy towards Africa guided by the Third
World policy to counter the West, then it succinctly assesses the
achievements and shortcomings of China’s economic engagement with Africa to
demonstrate that China does not solely pursue self-interest; rather, it is
capable of recognizing deficiencies within China-African economic exchanges and
proposing corresponding solutions. In other words, China is learning and
responding, offering insights into the potential implications for
European-African relationship.
A
glimpse of China’s engagement with Africa under the Third World Policy
The Third World policy is generally believed to have been
first articulated by Mao Zedong in a 1974
conversation with Zambian President Kenneth Kaunda, later systematically
elaborated by Deng Xiaoping at the Sixth Special Session of the United Nations
General Assembly. Deng formally outlined the “Three
Worlds” framework, stating: “The United States and the Soviet Union
constitute the First World. Developing countries in Asia, Africa, Latin
America, and other regions form the Third World. Developed countries situated
between these two groups belong to the Second World.”
However, scholarly research by George Yu, a prominent
professor of China-Africa studies, revealed earlier origins of this policy
dating back to the 1950s.
During the Korean War, China began cultivating relationships with Third World
nations – in particular (South and Southeast) Asian and African countries – as
a strategic response to American military pressure and political containment.
The 1955 Bandung Conference marked a definitive shift in this direction,
inaugurating a new era of strengthened China-Africa relations and establishing
a crucial diplomatic foundation for future engagement.
As China entered the 1960s, the intensifying Sino-Soviet
split compelled Beijing to simultaneously address pressures and threats from
both the United States and the Soviet Union. During this period, China
identified strategic
opportunities in Africa’s accelerating decolonization process, viewing
newly independent states as potential partners in its stance against both superpowers. This
strategic outlook led to significant advancements in China’s engagement with
Africa during the early 1960s. However, the onset of the Cultural Revolution
redirected China’s focus towards domestic affairs. The imperative to manage
internal societal upheaval to some extent superseded concerns about Western
threats, resulting in China’s notable withdrawal from engagement with
Africa during the latter half of the 1960s. The Sino-Soviet
border conflict of 1969 marked the apex of tensions between Beijing and
Moscow. Consequently, as China entered the 1970s and pursued rapprochement with
the United States, countering Soviet
revisionism emerged as the primary strategic objective for China’s
engagement with Africa.
During this period, as previously alluded to, the Third
World policy was comprehensively articulated. Its objectives extended beyond
merely uniting Third World countries to resist and contain First World
hegemony; the theory also advocated for collective efforts to transform
the international political and economic order – a pursuit that continues to
hold significant relevance in contemporary China-African relations. In the
1980s, as Sino-Soviet tensions eased and China’s developmental focus shifted
towards economic priorities, the strategic significance of Africa – and the
Third World more broadly – relatively diminished. Correspondingly, China transitioned from a unilateral
aid-based approach to a model predicated on mutual economic interests. In
short, prior to the 1990s, within the framework of China’s Third World policy,
Africa was consistently perceived as a strategic bulwark against Western hegemonism.
Hence, it can be argued that China’s African policy was largely rooted in a
self-interested strategy of protection against potential Western threats.
The 1989 Tiananmen crackdown
inflicted an unprecedented crisis on China’s foreign relations. Confronted with
overwhelming Western condemnation, China discovered a nuanced diplomatic
response from African nations. Despite not explicitly supporting China, they
notably refrained from directly criticizing China’s suppression. According to
Ian Taylor, a leading scholar in China-Africa studies, African nations’
strategic restraint stemmed from three
interconnected motivations: protecting domestic political elites’ interests
against democratization, expressing Third World solidarity against Western
interventionism, and preserving critical developmental aid relationships with
China. This stance reinforced Africa’s image as a reliable partner of China in
the Third World to counter Western hegemony and helped pave the way for the
establishment of FOCAC as an institutional
expression of this collective objective.
Of course, as China’s economy grew, its strategic interests
in Africa correspondingly evolved. Beyond the initial geopolitical objective of
confront Western hegemony, China increasingly viewed Africa’s vast natural
resource reserves as a critical
mechanism for addressing its energy insecurity. The economic engagement
between China and Africa had thus been substantially motivated by securing
stable and sustained access to African natural resources. Moreover, China’s
interests also include fortifying a united front of human
rights against Western censure and diplomatic containment of Taiwan.
To recapitulate, since its establishment, the PRC’s
engagement with Africa has predominantly been driven to serve its
self-interests, particularly in the context of geopolitical counterbalancing
against Western hegemony. This characterization does not imply that
self-interest is the sole determinant of China’s African policy, but rather
emphasizes that China’s fundamental strategic calculus in crafting African
engagement has been deeply rooted in national interests. However, this
perspective represents an incomplete understanding of the China-Africa
relationship. If China were solely concerned with its own interests, then, it
would be difficult to account for the notable deepening of China-Africa
cooperation by 2024. As observed by George Yu in 1977, “China’s
successes have not been because China was China or China willed them; they have
been due in large part either to the response to a specific need or to the
capture of a common aspiration.”
Here I concur with Arkebe Oqubay and
Justin Yifu Lin’s exposition of contemporary
China’s strategy towards Africa: “to create a paradigm of globalization that is
favorable to China while benefiting partner countries.” In this regard, The
Economist is correct in stating that “it is nonsense to claim [China]
is motivated by altruism.” However, it cannot be denied that to a certain
extent China does assume international responsibilities as a major power in contributing
to Africa’s development, making the assertion that China is “ruthlessly
self-interested” somewhat overstated. To avoid falling into the prevailing
discussion of how China leverages its cooperation with Africa to counter
the West as elucidated above, the following
analysis aims to first illustrate China’s contributions to China-African
economic relations, and then highlight the flaws and limitations that have
emerged in their cooperation based on data presentation. It shows that China is
aware of the deficiencies embedded in its economic engagement with Africa and
is learning and implementing corrective measures to enhance cooperation.
China’s
achievements in its economic engagement with Africa
From the Chinese perspective, its engagement within the
FOCAC framework reflects a determined effort to fully support Africa’s economic
development and industrialization. As outlined in the 2021 white
paper:
“In the new era, China has scaled up assistance to Africa
within the limits of its capabilities. Foreign aid from 2013 to 2018 totaled
RMB 270 billion. Of this sum, 45 percent went to African countries in the form
of grants, interest-free loans and concessional loans. From 2000 to 2020, China
helped African countries build more than 13,000 km of roads and railway and
more than 80 large-scale power facilities, and funded over 130 medical
facilities, 45 sports venues and over 170 schools. … China has been Africa’s
largest trading partner for the 12 years since 2009. The proportion of Africa’s
trade with China in the continent’s total external trade has continued to rise.
In 2020, the figure exceeded 21 percent.”
These represent only a fraction of the achievements in
China-Africa economic cooperation, which also extends to areas such as
financial collaboration, infrastructure development, industrialization support,
and the digital economy. While insightful, data from a singular perspective may
fail to comprehensively capture the entire reality, particularly in terms of
how China’s contributions have been perceived within Africa. Based on the findings
from Round
8 (2019/2020) public attitude survey conducted by Afrobarometer, a
pan-African and non-partisan research network, it reveals the general African
perception of China’s economic engagement.
Overall, China’s influence on Africa has been largely
considered positive. However, contrary to the common perception that China’s
influence in Africa is steadily
increasing, the proportion of those viewing China’s influence as positive
declined from 65% to 60% compared to the findings of Round 7 (2014/2015). This
decline was observed in ten out of the sixteen surveyed countries. More
importantly, when asked, “How much influence do you think China’s economic
activities in [our country] have on our economy,” the proportion of respondents
indicating “a lot or some” dropped from 71% to 56%. Among the sixteen surveyed
countries, fifteen experienced a decline, with Cabo Verde being the only
exception where the figure remained unchanged. Dr. Joseph Asunka, CEO of
Afrobarometer, stated in an
interview that “it’s not entirely clear what is behind these declining
trends in perceived influence. It is possible that as people become more
accustomed to China’s visible presence in their countries, its activities stand
out less to them.”
Regarding China’s loans and development assistance, 24% of
respondents across 18 countries believed that China imposes more requirements,
while 41% perceived that China imposes fewer requirements compared to other
donor countries. In Ethiopia and Kenya, where China is the largest trade
partner, 60% and 68% of respondents, respectively, believed that China imposes
fewer requirements. As commented by the former president of Senegal, Abdoulaye
Wade, “A contract that would take five years to discuss, negotiate, and
sign with the World Bank takes three months when we have dealt with Chinese
authorities.” Regardless of China’s strategic intentions, from the Chinese
perspective, this represents a tangible and efficient contribution to Africa’s
economic development. As Deborah Brautigam concluded in her book, The
Dragon’s Gift: The Real Story of China in Africa, “China’s rise in
Africa is cause for some concern, but it need not evoke the level of fear and
alarm raised by some who have condemned China’s aid and engagement as
destabilizing, bad for governance, and unlikely to help Africa to end poverty.
Many of the fears about Chinese aid and engagement are misinformed, the alarm
out of proportion.”
For China, this can be seen as an impressive achievement,
with its economic cooperation and assistance to Africa receiving recognition
and yielding results. However, this does not imply perfection, as there remain
numerous challenges and shortcomings within the China-Africa economic relationship
that require attention and resolution.
Shortcomings
and ramifications
It is important to
note that this discussion will not delve into the common Western narrative
accusing China of engaging in predatory
lending practices aimed at seizing
African assets, particularly natural resources. As The
Economist observed, “the bigger failing in the West’s view of
China-Africa is conceptual. At times it reduces China’s role to that of a giant
construction company. And when not simplifying, the West exaggerates, ascribing
more calculation to Beijing than it deserves, as in broad and misleading
accusations that it deliberately pursues ‘debt-trap diplomacy’.” Moreover, this
discussion does not seek to provide an exhaustive list of shortcomings. Rather,
it focuses on one of the most persistent and significant challenges – trade
asymmetry – to explore how China has learned from and responded to it.
Africa-China Trade
Balance from 2000 to 2022

Source:
Boston University Global Development Policy Center, 2024. Data Source: UNCTAD
Comtrade.
Africa’s Exports and
Imports to China by Sector

Source: Boston University Global Development
Policy Center, 2024. Data Source: UNCTAD Comtrade.
As demonstrated in the above charts, while Africa’s exports to China experienced steady growth until around 2013, they subsequently
declined and have struggled to recover. In contrast, China’s exports to Africa
have shown a consistent upward trajectory, steadily increasing and
significantly outpacing Africa’s exports. This widening gap has led to a
worsening trade deficit for Africa, which, after remaining relatively balanced
in the early 2000s, began to deteriorate sharply post-2013. Despite minor
fluctuations, the deficit has persisted, underscoring the deepening asymmetry
in China-Africa trade relations, with Africa increasingly reliant on Chinese
imports while struggling to expand its exports to China. In terms of Africa’s exports
and imports to China by sector, China extensively exports manufactured goods to
Africa in exchange for the continent’s natural resources of which four
commodities – petroleum crude oil, refined copper, iron ore and concentrates,
and aluminum ores and concentrates – accounted for nearly two-thirds
of Africa’s export to China by trade value in 2022. This highlights a
structural imbalance in China-Africa trade, as China capitalizes on its
manufacturing advantages to export relatively low value-added goods in exchange
for Africa’s raw materials which contributes to mitigating China’s energy insecurity.
For Africa, in the short term, the provision of
higher-quality and more affordable goods may lower living costs and enhance
living standards in Africa. However, in the long run, this approach is likely
to exacerbate the existing trade imbalance and significantly impede Africa’s
industrialization and modernization efforts, ultimately undermining the
foundational objectives of China-Africa cooperation.
The increasing prevalence of competitive Chinese goods among
African consumers carries significant structural economic implications. As
African consumers gravitate towards these products, domestic production demand
correspondingly diminishes. This demand reduction directly impacts investment
trajectories, potentially inducing industrial stagnation or systematic
displacement of local productive sectors. It is worthing mentioning that the
fundamental essence of industrialization lies in vertical industrial progression
– a strategic advancement from primary raw material processing to sophisticated
manufacturing and innovative technological development. The erosion of
investment interest fundamentally undermines this trajectory, effectively
halting critical infrastructure such as personnel training, technological
research, and developmental initiatives. Consequently, the aspirational pathway
towards upstream industrial advancement becomes significantly compromised.
For developing economies, particularly those in the African
context, such dynamics represent a presumably existential challenge to
sustainable economic development as it exacerbates existing trade imbalances,
creating a potentially cyclical economic vulnerability. Moreover, the
corresponding investment contraction caused by the consequential demand
reduction may also directly influence labor market dynamics and reduce employment
opportunities. The resultant unemployment pressures compel workforce segments to
migrate towards lower-tier industrial sectors, characterized by precarious
employment conditions and minimal wage security. This structural shift presents
a profound challenge to human capital evolution – a critical component of
comprehensive industrialization – consequently constraining potential economic
transformation.
Learning
from engagement
China has identified the trade imbalance and responded
accordingly. It has proactively adjusted and restructured its trade with
Africa. According to the 2021
White Paper, exports of mechanical, electrical, and high-tech products make
up over 50% of China’s total exports to Africa. Additionally, China has
increased imports of non-resource products from Africa and granted zero-tariff
treatment to 97 percent of taxable items from the 33 least-developed African
countries, aiming to improve access for African agricultural and manufactured
goods to the Chinese market. In this regard, China’s increased imports of
African agricultural products, alongside its support for agricultural
modernization, constitute a key
strategy in reducing Africa’s trade deficit and advancing its economic
transformation. According to the General
Administration of Customs of the PRC, in the first seven months of 2024,
China’s agricultural imports from Africa reached 25.35 billion yuan, up 7.2%,
outpacing overall growth of agricultural imports. Imports of sesame, tobacco,
and macadamia nuts from Africa surged by 38.8%, 32.7%, and 106.2%, each
exceeding 40% of China’s total imports in these categories. More critically, the
Beijing Action Plan (2025-2027) released at the 2024 FOCAC dedicates an entire
section to accelerating agricultural modernization in Africa with a focus
on enhancing agricultural cooperation and facilitating technology transfer. These
merely represent a small part of China’s responsive approach to addressing the
flaws in its economic cooperation with Africa. The latest Beijing Action Plan
also encompasses a sophisticated strategy for supporting holistic socioeconomic
development in African nations including education and talent development,
infrastructure development, and technological cooperation.
Nonetheless, the aforementioned illustrations neither
suggest that all policies will be fully implemented, nor guarantee that they
will be effective. What they do reveal is that China is learning from its
engagement with Africa, rather than exploiting the continent solely for its own
purposes. China has shown an ability to identify the deficiencies and is
willing to address them through cooperative efforts with Africa. While China’s
actions are not purely altruistic, they demonstrate its capacity to learn and
respond to evolving circumstances.
Implications
for Europe
With the elevation of the characterization of China-Africa
relations to an all-weather community for shared future, the EU has grown
increasingly vigilant about rising competition with China in Africa, in
particular in the realm of
critical
raw materials – an area where the EU has been striving to
reduce
its over-dependence on China, whose presence in Africa continues to expand.
This concern is indeed valid; however, it would be an oversimplification to
frame this as a
competition
between the EU and China for influence in Africa. The deepening of China’s
cooperative relationships with African nations does not necessarily preclude or
exclude the EU’s potential for meaningful collaboration with the continent.
This misconception fundamentally stems from its failure to perceive
African
agency (as well as African states) as an
equal actor in
international affairs. This mindset is one that the EU must
transform.
Moreover, the ongoing reality of China’s continued deepening of cooperation
with Africa can, in fact, provide strategic guidance for EU-Africa
collaboration – essentially, to learn and adapt.
The EU’s preoccupation with outcompeting China in Africa is perfectly
manifested in its launching of Global
Gateway, which “helps to tackle the most pressing global challenges, from
fighting climate change, to improving health systems, and boosting
competitiveness and security of global supply chains.” In 2021, Ursula von der
Leyen, President of European Commission, stated that Global Gateway is different
from other initiatives for development – it aims to demonstrate that “a
democratic, value-driven approach can deliver on the most pressing challenges. …
It is a new strategic approach to investment.” She further claimed in 2024 that
Global Gateway is about offering better
choices. Many European scholars acknowledged that Global Gateway is aimed
at countering
Chinese influence in the African continent. And, more explicitly, “this
massive investment program is a clear counter
to China’s strategic encroachment through the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI).”
However, in discussions of this initiative, there is a
notable absence of meaningful dialogue about Africa as a substantive
participant. Instead, the discourse predominantly centers on the potential
benefits the EU might derive from the program.
African states are not constrained to a binary choice
between the EU and China, and more precisely, they are not passive recipients
of assistance or conditions. Rather, African states are independent, equal
international actors capable of making decisions by carefully weighing their
own interests. This is reflected in the aforementioned Afrobarometer public
survey, which found that 59% of respondents recognized China’s influence in
Africa as positive – only 1% higher than that of the United States despite
China’s extensive efforts in propaganda. This narrow margin suggests that,
according to Dr.
Joseph Asunka, “[African] citizens’ ratings of each country may have less
to do with the specific actions or investments of each – about which ordinary
Africans may have limited information – but instead reflect an overall sense of
whether external powers are generally contributing to the well-being
of the respondent’s country. [emphasis added]” Hence, whether cooperating with
the EU or China, Africans’ decisions are ultimately guided by their own
inclinations.
More importantly, African states seek to utilize
their cooperative relationships with China as a leverage to reframe their
relationship with Europe. As Obert
Hodzi observed, “African countries are demanding a paradigm shift to their
donor-recipient relationship with the EU, which they claim is underpinned by
European paternalism in Africa.” His subsequent argument may provide
fundamental insights into why Africa has opted to forge a close partnership
with China:
“Reframing
external perceptions of Africa constitutes one of the main objectives of the
pan-African agenda to have relations with external actors based on equality.
… The African solutions to African problems that China has rhetorically adhered
to by not prescribing solutions to Africa’s challenges epitomizes the
ideal of an Africa able to resolve its problems and one that is an
equal partner on the global stage. Thus … the [African Union] and its
member states are emboldened by China’s development trajectory and insistence
on states’ sovereign right to determine their own development path and set
their development priority areas without EU interference. [emphasis added]”
To put it simply, if the EU seeks to sustain and enhance its
influence in Africa, it must refrain
from imposing conditions, focusing less on didactic lessons such as good
governance and human rights. This does not imply abandoning these principles –
after all, no one would reject genuine good governance or the protection of
human rights. Rather, it calls for a recalibration of priorities, with a
greater focus on listening
to Africa’s actual needs and address them accordingly. Just as China has
learned and adapted through its engagement with Africa, the EU needs to also
embrace a process of learning and adjustment. More importantly, China-Africa
cooperation appears to have already outlined a viable direction for the EU’s
necessary transformation.


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Co-funded by the European Union. Views and opinions expressed are however those of the author(s) only and do not necessarily reflect those of the European Union or European Research Executive Agency (REA). Neither the European Union nor the granting authority can be held responsible for them.
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